[20151013]IN10372_哥伦比亚和谈突破：可能的结局？.pdf

CRS INSIGHTColombian Peace Talks Breakthrough: A Possible End-Game?October 13, 2015 (IN10372) | Related AuthorJune S. Beittel |June S. Beittel, Analyst in Latin American Affairs (jbeittelcrs.loc.gov, 7-7613)Negotiators reached a breakthrough in talks between the Colombian government and the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) just a day after Pope Francis left Cuba, following more than 40 rounds of discussions held in Havana since November 2012. On September 23, 2015, Colombian President Juan Manuel Santos, in a highly symbolic gesture, shook hands with the leader of the FARC, Ricardo Londoo (alias Timochenko), during a stop on his way to the U.N. General Assembly meeting in New York. The long-time foes, who some observers say were prodded by the pontiff, announced a timetable to complete the peace talks, a framework for a transitional justice system for assisting victims, and a date for disarmament of the FARC.According to Colombian government estimates, some 220,000 Colombians have died in the 51-year internal armed conflict, about 80% of them civilians. Additionally, 7 million people (15% of the population) have been registered as victims from forced displacement, land