[20151015]IN10374_缅甸签署的不到全国范围的停火协议.pdf

CRS INSIGHTLess-than-Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement Signed in BurmaOctober 15, 2015 (IN10374) | Related AuthorMichael F. Martin |Michael F. Martin, Specialist in Asian Affairs (mfmartincrs.loc.gov, 7-2199)Eight ethnic groups and representatives of Burmas government signed a ceasefire agreement on October 15, possibly moving the country one step closer to ending its six decade long civil war (see text box). However, more than a dozen ethnic groups did not sign the agreement, including most of those actively fighting with the governments army, the Tatmadaw, leaving the agreement well short of the nationwide ceasefire President Thein Sein sought to complete before parliamentary elections scheduled for November 8, 2015.Each of the eight ethnic groups had agreed to separate ceasefire agreements with the Thein Sein government. Two other ethnic groups, the National Socialist Council of Nagaland-Khaplang (NSCN-K) and the United Wa State Army (UWSA), did not participate in the negotiations and had previously announced that they had no intention of signing the ceasefire agreement.Under the terms of the agreement, a political dialogue is to begin with 90 days (January 13, 2016) to discuss ter