[20160112]IN10431_2016年1月台湾选举：预览.pdf

CRS INSIGHTTaiwans January 2016 Elections: A PreviewJanuary 12, 2016 (IN10431) | Related AuthorsSusan V. LawrenceWayne M. Morrison |Susan V. Lawrence, Specialist in Asian Affairs (slawrencecrs.loc.gov, 7-2577)Wayne M. Morrison, Specialist in Asian Trade and Finance (wmorrisoncrs.loc.gov, 7-7767)IntroductionTaiwan voters will go to the polls on January 16, 2016, to elect a new president and all members of Taiwans legislature, the Legislative Yuan. Tsai Ing-wen, the presidential candidate of Taiwans largest opposition party, the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), holds a strong lead in public opinion polls. Her party is in a tight race with the ruling Kuomintang (KMT or Nationalist Party) for control of the legislature. The elections may determine whether an eight-year period of relative calm in relations between Taiwan (whose formal name is the Republic of China or ROC) and the Peoples Republic of China (PRC) continues, or comes to an end. The United States has interests in supporting Taiwans democracy, in strong commercial ties with Taiwan, and in peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait.The Presidential ContestLimited to two four-year terms, President Ma Ying-jeou of the KMT