[20190214]IF11108_乌克兰总统选举：预览.pdf

https:/crsreports.congress.gov Updated February 14, 2019Ukraines Presidential Election: A PreviewOn March 31, 2019, Ukraine is scheduled to hold its first presidential election since 2014, the year Russia began to occupy Ukraines Crimea region and launched a separatist conflict in eastern Ukraine. Because Ukraines president shares executive power with a prime minister, the elections full political significance will depend on October 2019 parliamentary elections. The outcome of the presidential election, however, is likely to influence voter preferences in parliamentary elections. The presidential election is a competitive one. The top three candidates are incumbent President Petro Poroshenko, former prime minister Yulia Tymoshenko, and well-known actor-comedian Volodymyr (or Vladimir) Zelensky. For months, Tymoshenko was the frontrunner in most election polls, but some recent polls have Zelensky in the lead. Poroshenko is running third in most polls, although many observers consider the incumbent president to be a viable contender for a runoff election. Most observers believe it is unlikely any candidate will receive a majority of votes in the March 31 election, leading to a secon