德国的电力供应可以在没有俄罗斯供应和核能的情况下得到保障; 2030年逐步淘汰煤炭仍然是可能的

1 Nr.8 1.Juli 2022 Electricity supply in Germany can be secured without Russian supplies and nuclear energy;the 2030 coal-phase out remains possible By Christian Hauenstein,Karlo Hainsch,Philipp Herpich,Christian von Hirschhausen,Franziska Holz,Claudia Kemfert,Mario Kendziorski,Pao-Yu Oei,and Catharina Rieve The European Union has increased pressure on Russia by enacting a coal embargo.Following a transition period,Russian coal imports will end in August 2022.Recent studies show that Germany will be able to substitute Russian supplies with imports from other countries by summer 2022.However,with the looming threat of a Russian gas supply stop,plans must be developed to ensure security of supply.In scenario calculations,DIW Berlin analyzed how the German electricity system can respond to a stop of Russian energy supplies(especially coal and natural gas)while still maintaining the accelerated coal phase-out and the 2022 nuclear phase-out plans.The calculations show that a secure electricity supply will be possible in 2023,even without Russian energy supplies.The shutdown of the final three nuclear power plants can and should take place as planned in December 2022.In the short term,c