情报与乌克兰战争 公开披露的有限权力

Intelligence and the War in Ukraine:The Limited Power of Public Disclosure Ofek Riemer|No.1577|March 27,2022 The war in Ukraine marks a new climax in the public use of intelligence by states.The United States,the UK,and even the government of Ukraine have revealed intelligence information and assessments about Russias intentions and plans before and during the invasion.On the political level,the revelations contributed to shape a narrative that clearly marked Putin as an aggressor and Ukraine as a victim,and thus contributed to the consolidation of a strong and unified front against Russia.On the strategic level,the early revelation of Russian intentions did not deter the Kremlin.At the same time,on the tactical level,exposing the Russian plans,with an emphasis on covert operations,apparently prompted their cancellation and contributed to the undermining of Russian confidence,which may have an impact on the course of the war.While the public use of intelligence is not foreign to Israel,the case of Ukraine emphasizes several important lessons:the revelation of intelligence is limited in its ability to prevent a determined adversary from working to achieve objectives,though it may d