乌克兰与俄罗斯战争期间的粮食生产和出口

CENTRE FOR EASTERN STUDIESwww.osw.waw.plOSW CommentaryThe views expressed by the authors of the papers do not necessarily reflect the opinion of Polish authorities.EDITORS:Wojciech Konoczuk,Tomasz Strzelczyk,Katarzyna KazimierskaTRANSLATION:Pawe BiernackiCO-OPERATION:Jim ToddDTP:Zofia KonarskaCentre for Eastern Studiesul.Koszykowa 6a,00-564 Warsaw,Polandtel.:(+48)22 525 80 00,infoosw.waw.pl www.osw.waw.plProduction and export of food from Ukraine during the war with RussiaSawomir MatuszakDespite the war that has been raging for more than two months,Ukraine has managed to start this years sowing campaign,although estimates are that the areas cultivated will be up to 30%smaller than in 2021.A fuel shortage could also be a problem during this years harvest.Nor isit clear what the harvest will look like in the occupied territories.Currently,there is norisk of afood deficit,as the country has very significant grain stocks(about 20 milliontonnes),exceeding the annual consumption for some species.However,problems may arise in this regard in the Russian-occupied areas as the occupiers have been confiscating grain.The big-gest challenge for Kyiv remains the blockade of ports on the Black Se