乌克兰事件后的安全转机 区域和体制影响

LANDESVERTEIDIGUNGSAKADEMIEIFKGeostrategic impactThe attack on Ukraine must be seen as an attempt to unilaterally reshape the European peace and security order through power politics.The political reactions to it that have already taken place or are still to be expected represent a security policy“trend break”.From an analytical point of view,the following structural and sustainable developments are to be expected:Massive weakening of multilateralism and the willingness to jointly tackle global challenges.This can also mean a lack of mandates for ongoing or new peace operations,for example in the Western Balkans.The need to strengthen European territorial defence and strategic deterrence.Even if it has been possible so far to preserve the unity of the West(USA,NATO and EU),it cannot be ruled out in the future that,in the event of a simultaneous military challenge by the USA in Asia(for example around Taiwan)or in the event of a change in domestic political circumstances after the next US presidential elections,Europe would have to stand up to a potential aggressor militarily on its own.In any case,the EU is called upon to assume much more responsibility for its own military securit