伟大的放松 伊朗核谈判和制裁救济原则[20131011].pdf

O C T O B E R 2 0 1 3By Elizabeth Rosenberg and Colin H.Kahl P O L I C Y B R I E FThe Great UnwindingIranian Nuclear Negotiations and Principles for Sanctions ReliefAfter decades of isolation,the Iranian regime may finally be willing to limit its nuclear program in exchange for relief from punishing economic sanctions.The quantity and severity of sanctions has increased dramatically in recent years as a consequence of Tehrans nuclear behavior.Hassan Rouhani,Irans new president,believes he has the support of the Iranian people to reach a nuclear accommodation with the international community and a green light from Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei to negotiate an accord with the United States and the other members of the P5+1(Britain,China,France,Germany and Russia).Rouhani has been engaged in a diplomatic marathon to convince the world of his sincerity,and broke new ground in a phone call with President Obama on September 27.The new tone on all sides is refreshing,but the real test will come when the parties agree to take concrete actions.It remains unclear precisely how Iran and the P5+1 will amend their previous nego-tiating positions which resulted in stalemate when the part