缓慢解冻 核协议后测试与伊朗合作的可能性[20150115].pdf

J A N U A R Y 2 0 1 5 P O L I C Y B R I E FSlow ThawTesting Possibilities for Cooperation with Iran After a Nuclear DealBy Ilan Goldenberg,Jacob Stokes,and Nicholas A.HerasThe prospect of a nuclear deal between the West and Iran has generated a robust debate about whether such an agreement might generate opportunities for U.S.-Iranian cooperation on a broader set of issues.Any deal will address only the Iranian nuclear proliferation threat;even if successful,it will leave on the table many other unresolved sources of tension that have hobbled U.S.-Iranian relations since the Islamic Revolution.The Obama administration has stressed that any deal regarding the“nuclear file”remains separate and distinct from the overall question of U.S.policy toward Iran.The lead U.S.nuclear negotiator,Ambassador Wendy R.Sherman,stated this clearly:“engagement on one issue does not require and will not lead to silence on others.”1 Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has been equally insistent upon compartmentalizing and isolating the nuclear question from the broader U.S.-Iranian relationship.2 But these negative statements do not determine what may happen in the days and years after an agre