如何结束 叙利亚降级的蓝图[20141106].pdf

N O V E M B E R 2 0 1 4P O L I C Y B R I E FHow This EndsA Blueprint for De-Escalation in Syria By Dafna H.Rand and Nicholas A.HerasAs the U.S.-led Coalition continuesairstrikes against the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham(ISIS)and the al-Qaida affiliate Jabhat al-Nusra in Syria,the American public is asking:What does the end game look like?This brief offers a preliminary response,outlining a process by which the Syrian civil conflict could end,however improbable that may now seem given the bloodshed that has convulsed the country.The Center for a New American Securitys recent report,“The Tourniquet:A Strategy for Defeating the Islamic State and Saving Iraq and Syria”by Marc Lynch,offers a comprehensive strategy for the United States to pursue in Iraq and Syria.This brief follows up,detailing how a political“end game”in Syria must be integrated into the current U.S.military strategy to defeat ISIS.There is no perfect or possibly even good outcome for the United States in Syria.Yet it is becoming clear that the perpetuation of the bloody civil conflict is the worst of all possible options not only for Syrians,but also for the pursuit of U.S.interests and values in the region.A nego