伊朗协议以及接下来的内容[20150914].pdf

The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action(JCPOA)agreed to by Iran and the P5+1(China,France,Germany,Russia,the United Kingdom,and the United States)on July 14,2015,represents a historic moment for U.S.foreign policy.The agreement will have to be judged based on its ability to help further four key American objectives:Prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon;Increase stability in the Middle East;Strengthen the non-proliferation regime;and Improve Americas global standing.Leveraging the agreement to achieve these objectives is far from a foregone conclusion.Success will depend heavily on the policies the United States and its partners pursue in the aftermath of the agreement.Over the next 2025 years,if implemented effectively,the agreement could succeed in permanently ending Irans pursuit of a nuclear weapon.Al-ternatively,if implementation fails,the JCPOA could pave the way for an Iranian bomb in 15 years or sooner.The agreement could open up new channels of cooperation with a more moderate Iran and help stabilize the Middle East,or it could cause increased destabiliz-ing competition between Iran,Saudi Arabia,and Israel.The agreement could strengthen non-proliferation norms across