CSBA_20100615_面对日益严峻的挑战和资源限制时期的国家安全战略.pdf

PerspectiveThinking Smarter About DefenseJune 2010NatioNal Security Strategy iN aN era of growiNg challeNgeS aNd reSource coNStraiNtSAndrew F.Krepinevich,Jr.Originally presented at“The Geopolitical Constraints of the Financial Crises”Symposium at Princeton universitys Center for International Security Studies,13-14 May 2010.Panel on“Domestic Constraints on uS Grand Strategy.”introductionThe united States is struggling to emerge from the greatest peacetime economic downturn since the Great Depression.Known as the Great Recession,the countrys current fiscal difficulties seem unlikely to abate any time soon.If there is a consensus regarding the countrys recovery,it is that it will be both gradual and protracted.1 Some economists,eyeing the governments rapidly growing debt and expanding obligations,have expressed concerns over the countrys ability to sustain healthy growth levels over the longer term.2 The implications for uS security are potentially profound.Washington has long relied on its ability to bring to bear far greater resources than any other country against any threat to the nations security.If current trends play out,this advantage is almost certain to diminish,perhaps dra